Archive for August, 2006
Thursday, August 17th, 2006
Rupert Murdoch’s FOX News reports:
Top African military officials are studying a proposal to send a 3,500-strong peace force by October to Somalia, where an internationally recognized government appears increasingly weak in comparison to and its fundamentalist Islamic rivals. Officials said Thursday that four battalions, made up of Ugandan and Sudanese troops, will be trained in Kenya before being deployed in an initial phase to the conflict-ridden country, African military experts told The Associated Press. They spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not allowed to speak to the media.
I think it is a huge political mistake to bring unwelcome African foreign troops into Somalia. Indeed, it will do more harm than good. Col. Cabdullaahi Yuusuf and the TFG cannot and should not be forced into the throats of the Somali people. The fact is that the overwhelming majority of the Somalia people refused to accept the legitimacy of the failed TFG.
Many people including myself have argued endlessly in the past that the TFG could function as a transitional government that could potentially pave the way for a more permanent political settlement for Somalia. Well, we were wrong and as it turned out the people of Somalia knew what is good for them better than any one else!
Now, let me tell you why I believe the deployment of foreign troops into Somalia is very bad idea. First, neither Kenya nor Ethiopia is an honest peace broker that cares about the well being of the Somali people and Somalia. On the contrary, the fact is that neither Kenya nor Ethiopia want emergence of strong and united Somalia. They want fragmented, weak, and disintegrated Somalia surrounded by strong Christian countries with Western political, economic and military support. The reason is that both countries annexed Somali regions illegally and they are afraid that strong future Somali government will revive Somali Nationalism and the noble idea of Greater Somalia including NFD and Western Somalia (Ogaden). I do believe that one of the reasons why the Somali peace process has failed thus far is the fact that both Kenya and Ethiopian were on the driver’s seat. In my opinion, the Somali political conflict need more honest peace brokers, preferably from the Arab and Islamic countries!
Second, the TFG is no more as it collapsed under its weight with cabinet ministers and federal MP’s deserting everyday by their dozens. The question is why would any body care to protect disgraced bunch of warlords, murderers and tribal chiefs with myopic political agenda that are doing nothing other than continuing endless political bickering among themselves? Democracy dictates the supremacy of the political will of the people. And the political will of the Somali people seems to be somewhere else at the moment!
Third, the Somali people will not like Ethiopian or Kenyan troops patrolling their towns and villages imposing illegitimate rulers that are protecting foreign interests that are detrimental to the well being of Somali Nation as a whole. Needless to say, any troops from those countries will most likely aggravate current political conflict in Somalia. As result, the security situation in the country will worsen!
Why put more gasoline on flaming fire?
Bottom-line: there is no rational argument for deploying foreign troops from Africa into Somalia!
Click here to view the full dispatch on FOX News.
Posted in Africa, Arab World, Cali Maxmed Geedi, Col. Cabdullaahi Yuusuf Axmed, Commentary, Dar ul- Islam, Ethiopian Invasion, NFD, National Security, News, Pan Somalism, Somali Diaspora, Somali Foreign Policy, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Somalia Islamic Courts, Warlords, Western Somalia (Ogaden) | No Comments »
Wednesday, August 16th, 2006
The Irin News reported yesterday that:
After initially refusing to take part in peace negotiations, Somalia’s transitional government and the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC), which controls the capital Mogadishu, have agreed to resume talks in the Sudanese capital, Khartoum, officials said. “We have decided to participate in the talks in the interest of the people,” Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, the UIC chairman, said on Tuesday. The two sides announced their participation after meeting a Kenyan delegation to the country, led by Assistant Foreign Affairs Minister Moses Wetangula, on Monday.
Personally, I do not understand what difference a “talk†between the collapsed TFG and the Islamic Courts Union (ICU) will make? I mean, the ICU control the most strategic parts of the country including Mogadishu and they seem to be advancing politically and militarily with an amazing speed. Meanwhile, the powerless TFG is disintegrating everyday with a serious and widening political gap between Cali Geedi and Col. Cabdullahi Yusuf Axmed. More importantly, neither Cali Geedi nor Col. Cabdullahi Yusuf Axmed has done anything tangible for the Somali people since they came to power almost two years ago. The fact is that Col. Cabdullahi Yusuf Axmed was busy building tribal government of his own appointing former taxi drivers and waiters as ministers while Cali Geedi was unable to understand what his role as a prime Minister was really all about!
In this scenario, there is no political incentive for the ICU to even contemplate talking with the failed TFG. Without a doubt, they are the victorious party in this political and military chess game. Hence, they do not need the TFG at all. However, some have argued that the “Western†powers could isolate them if they succeed to take over the entire country and as a result incapacitate any future government by ICU. Therefore, the ICU should try to talk to the TFG in order to reach power sharing agreement that could potentially pave the way for a coalition government.
I do not believe that this is an argument worth any consideration at all. There are several reasons for my out right rejection of this line of argument. First, neither Cali Geedi nor Col. Cabdullaahi Yuusuf is popular with the West. Second, as I argued before, The ICU made several important political signals indicating that they were willing to address U.S. security concerns in Somalia. Indeed, the initial U.S. policy regarding the ICU did not seem hostile at all. However, the fact that Sheikh Dahir Aways is appointed to very prominent and politically powerful position complicates the matter somewhat. Third, the overwhelming majority of the Somali people are at the moment with the ICU politically and militarily if need be.
In short, the ICU is increasing looking like the legitimate power in Somalia while the TFG is seen by the fast majority of the Somali people as bunch of murderers, warlords and tribal chiefs bickering endlessly among themselves with NO one around to listen them.
Can any sane person tell me why the ICU would waste time talking with those folks? They must push on and liberate the rest of the country including the northern and eastern regions!
Click here to view the full dispatch on Irin News.
Posted in Arab World, Cali Maxmed Geedi, Col. Cabdullaahi Yuusuf Axmed, Commentary, Dar ul- Islam, Ethiopian Invasion, NFD, National Security, News, Pan Somalism, Somali Diaspora, Somali Foreign Policy, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Somalia Islamic Courts, Terrorism, Warlords, Western Somalia (Ogaden) | No Comments »
Sunday, August 13th, 2006
The Reuters news agencies reports:
Islamist fighters in Somalia have seized two coastal towns and vowed to rid the area of piracy that has made the country’s Indian Ocean waters some of the most dangerous in the world, residents said on Sunday. The militiamen met little resistance and there were no immediate reports of casualties as they moved into Harardheere, a town 400km (250 miles) north of the capital Mogadishu on Saturday, before advancing north to take Eldher a day later. “We have to secure the town and its surroundings,†one Islamist commander, who did not give his name, told a crowd of residents in Harardheere. “Piracy is a crime.†Fighters loyal to the country’s Islamic courts movement seized Mogadishu and a strategic swathe of southern Somalia in June. They oppose the interim government, based in the provincial town of Baidoa, and threaten its limited authority. Many on the coast applauded the Islamists’ arrival. “Now we will be free fishermen,†said Abdi Warsame, a fisherman in Harardheere. Piracy is a lucrative offshoot of a trade in smuggled drugs, weapons and people by Somalia’s powerful warlords.
Well, Somali pirates did indeed commit serious violation against the international maritime laws and regulations. However, they help to thwart international criminals that looted marine resources from the Somali coast. In short, their crimes help protect the Somali coast and that’s is not a bad thing for the Somali people!
Click here to view the dispatch on the AlertNet.
Posted in Africa, Arab World, Commentary, Dar ul- Islam, National Security, News, Pan Somalism, Somali Diaspora, Somali Foreign Policy, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Somalia Islamic Courts | No Comments »
Sunday, August 13th, 2006
(…) for some reason or other, I am a sad exile. In some way or other, our land travels with me and with me too, though, far away, live the longitudinal essence of my country.
Pablo Neruda, 1972.
Posted in News, Pan Somalism, Thought of the day | No Comments »
Sunday, August 13th, 2006
Jon Stewart of the “Daily Show” on Comedy Central has some tragic-comical view about the Middle East crisis.
Click here to view the full clip through the Jordanian “Black Iris†political Blog.
Posted in African Blogs, Arab World, Dar ul- Islam, News | No Comments »
Sunday, August 13th, 2006
Mike Clough writes an opinion article on the Los Angeles Times and says:
(…) Somalia is on the brink of becoming the fourth front in the U.S. war on terror. As in Afghanistan, Iraq and in Lebanon, the U.S. is allied in some way against radical Islamic fundamentalists. The Islamic Courts Union, a growing alliance of Islamic militants, recently routed U.S.-backed warlords and took over Mogadishu. It seeks to oust a transitional federal government, which is supported by the African Union but controls only the town of Baidoa. On the sidelines is the U.S.-backed regime in Ethiopia that is eager to lead the battle against the Islamists, who may have ties to Al Qaeda. (…) In many ways, this latest front in the war on terror is the culmination of nearly 30 years of alternating Washington policy blunders and neglect in the Horn of Africa. That history has left the U.S. with few good options in a worsening situation. U.S. missteps in the region date to 1977, when policymakers tacitly — and foolishly — encouraged Somalia to take advantage of political instability in the Ethiopian capital and grab control of Ethiopia’s Somali-inhabited Ogaden region. The move backfired when Soviet and Cuban troops rushed in to defend the Marxist regime in Addis Ababa, turning Ethiopia into Moscow’s staunchest ally in Africa. In response, Washington armed Mohamed Siad Barre’s thugocracy in Somalia.
Mike Clough concluded by saying:
With a growing likelihood of war in the Horn of Africa, Bush has little maneuvering room. He could accept the emergence of an anti-American Islamist Somalia. He could back Ethiopian intervention on the side of the transition government in Baidoa, which would lead to a bloody war. Or he could try to persuade another African government to militarily support the transitional government. None of these are particularly appealing, even when practical. This time, Somalia doesn’t seem to be going away.
I do not believe that more U.S involvement, the kind of political and military involvement Mike Clough seems to favor would have made any difference at all. The fact is that, the “Right Wing†bullish U.S foreign policy advocated by Mike Clough and his like-minded folks is at best counter-productive and at worse destructive as the catastrophic military adventure in Iraq proves beyond any doubt. Indeed, the failed U.S. clandestine military involvement made things more complicated in Somalia by helping popular political upraising that propelled the Islamic Courts Union (ICU) to higher political ground.
I believe strategic U.S. interests can best be achieved by talking to the leaders of the Islamic Courts Union in Somalia. The ICU made several important political signals indicating that they want to address U.S. security concerns in Somalia. The U.S. should not blindly refuse to engage Somalia’s new rulers exclusively on unrealistic ideological grounds that is based on dogma rather reason and realpolitik!
I do not believe that ICU is hiding “terrorists†in their camps as some “Right Wing†political commentators (propagandists) would like us to believe!
Click here to view the full article on the LA Times.
Posted in Arab World, Dar ul- Islam, Ethiopian Invasion, NFD, National Security, News, Somali Foreign Policy, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Somalia Islamic Courts, Terrorism, Warlords, Western Somalia (Ogaden) | No Comments »
Sunday, August 13th, 2006
In an article on the Guardian newspaper, Fouad Siniora, the Lebanese Prime Minster appeals for international help to end the crisis in Lebanon. He writes:
For a month now, as the international community has vacillated, Israel has besieged and ravaged Lebanon, creating a humanitarian and environmental disaster and shattering our infrastructure and economy. In the name of the Lebanese people, I again demand an immediate ceasefire and withdrawal of Israeli troops. The international community has an obligation, under the UN charter, to defend Lebanon’s sovereignty and protect our people under humanitarian law. Given the historic ties with our region, Lebanese look to Europe and Britain to take a lead through the UN in putting an end to this aggression.
Fouad Siniora continued by saying:
Israel says this war is against Hizbullah, not Lebanon. But the Israeli terror is inflicted on all Lebanese. The indiscriminate murder of more than 1,100 Lebanese civilians (a third of them children), the massacres and “cleansing” of villages and the wanton destruction of our infrastructure are nothing short of criminal. One quarter of our population has been displaced. On behalf of all Lebanese, I demand an international inquiry into Israel’s actions in Lebanon, and insist on reparations.
Fouad Siniora concluded by saying:
If Israel would realise that the peoples of the Middle East cannot be cowed into submission, that their will to resist grows ever stronger with each village destroyed and each massacre committed, it could also be a stepping stone to a final solution of the wider Arab-Israeli conflict. A political solution cannot, however, be implemented as long as Israel continues to occupy Arab land in Lebanon, Gaza, the West Bank and in the Syrian Golan Heights, and wages war on innocent people in Lebanon and Palestine.
Click here to view the full article on the Guardian.
Posted in Arab World, Dar ul- Islam, News, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somalia Islamic Courts | No Comments »
Sunday, August 13th, 2006
The Global Information and Early Warning System (GIEW) paint a grim prospect for Somalia by saying:
Prospects for the 2006 main “gu†cereal crops, for harvest from August, are poor due to insufficient rains; the rainy season is complete, with patchy results. This would lead to the third consecutive season of below average harvest. Despite some heavy rains at the beginning of the season, large areas in Gedo, Bakol, Hiran, Bay, Lower Shabelle, Lower and Middle Juba, Galgadud, Toghdeer, Sool, Sanaag and Bari received below normal rains (see map). The gu is the main rainy season (April–June) with about 70 to 80 percent of annual cereal production in normal years.
Despite favourable rains in several drought-affected regions of Somalia, the food security situation of about 2.1 million drought-affected people thus remains precarious. Extremely high levels of malnutrition persist in many areas including Gedo, Bakool and Juba Valley. Recent nutrition surveys of these areas found unacceptably high rates of acute malnutrition between 16.2 and 23.8 percent (GAM), with corresponding severe malnutrition rates of 3.7 to 4.2 percent (SAM).
This is one of the tragedies of the Somali political conflict, while the so called “leaders†(Myopic triblists) are bickering among themselves, thousands of Somalis die everyday due to hunger and starvation!
Click here to view the article GIEW website.
Posted in Arab World, Commentary, Dar ul- Islam, Development Issues, Food Crisis Emergency, Last Word..., NFD, National Security, News, Pan Somalism, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Somalia Islamic Courts, Warlords, Western Somalia (Ogaden) | No Comments »
Wednesday, August 9th, 2006
Thilo Thielke of the German Magazine Speigel writes:
(…) Everything changed when the “Supreme Islamic Courts Council” — an Islamic militia — took control of the city more than two months ago. After 15 years of anarchy and civil war, Mogadishu was getting a new lease on life. More than 1,800 women have already joined Allah’s cleaning crews, working hard under the relentless African sun in return for nothing more than a bit of drinking water. And yet more and more volunteers are coming forward to help clean up this ruined city. Young men from other parts of the country are also making their way to the capital to join the holy warriors’ militias. Somalia’s new rulers have even garnered support from abroad. Two aircraft apparently touched down at the city’s international airport two weeks ago with their Kazakh national markings painted over. There have been rumors ever since about the planes’ origin and cargo. Some say neighboring Eritrea sent a shipment of weapons to help Somalia’s Islamists fight their common enemy, Ethiopia. No one really knows. But the city’s decrepit port is expected to resume operations soon.
Well, all Somalis need are honest leadership and little faith in their ability to help themselves! The ICU seems to have provided that!
Clicke here to view the full article on Speigel.
Posted in Arab World, Dar ul- Islam, National Security, News, Pan Somalism, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Somalia Islamic Courts | No Comments »
Wednesday, August 9th, 2006
C. Bryson Hull of the Reuters News Agency writes:
Somali Prime Minister Ali Mohamed Gedi, a veterinarian thrust into office two years ago, finds himself clinging to power in the Horn of Africa nation. But whether he stays or goes, many believe he is the pivotal figure in deciding the fate of his fragile administration — the 14th attempt to restore central rule since Somalia fell into anarchy in 1991 after dictator Mohamed Siad Barre was ousted. After narrowly surviving a no-confidence vote on July 30, Gedi must name a streamlined cabinet by Monday and deliver on a plan of action to be reviewed in three months under a deal brokered with President Abdullahi Yusuf on Sunday. “Whether he stays is not important. It is whether he creates a competent cabinet,†legislator Abdullahi Haji said in Baidoa, the government’s temporary capital and only stronghold at home.
Interesting perspective… worth reading!
Click here to view the full analysis on the AlertNet.
Posted in Arab World, Cali Maxmed Geedi, Commentary, Dar ul- Islam, NFD, National Security, News, Pan Somalism, Somali Foreign Policy, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Warlords, Western Somalia (Ogaden) | No Comments »
Wednesday, August 9th, 2006
The BBC News reports:
Some Somalis believe the Islamists are too militant Islamic militia have taken control of the central Somali town of Beletuein. The strategic town changed hands after fighting erupted in between the town’s previous pro-government rulers and the militia of a local Islamic court. Tension is high in central Somalia as the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC) that controls much of southern Somalia tries to spread its influence further north. Earlier, two were injured in Galkayo in a protest led by clerics who say the UIC’s brand of Islam is too militant. The BBC’s Hassan Barise in Mogadishu says no one was injured in the short battle in the strategically important town of Beletuein, some 300km north of the capital.
I would say, from a patriotic point of view, anyone who stands with the WORST enemy of the Somali Nation must be toppled down! The local administration in Beled Weyne was set up by the now defunct TFG headed by the self declared Ethiopian Viceroy; Col. Cabdullahi Yuusuf Axmed. Hence, they were too cosy with the foreign invaders and their puppets in the TFG. I am glad that they are gone. No one will miss them!
Click here to view the full dispatch by the BBC News.
Posted in Arab World, Commentary, Dar ul- Islam, Ethiopian Invasion, National Security, News, Pan Somalism, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Somalia Islamic Courts | Comments Off
Tuesday, August 8th, 2006
Eben Kaplan, Assistant Editor, Council on Foreign Relations writes:
Courts imposing sharia (traditional Islamic law) have been active in Somalia since the mid-to-late 1990s. In a nation that has been largely anarchic for the last decade and a half, these courts became increasingly popular because they demonstrated their ability to provide some semblance of order. By early 2005, eleven of these tribunals had joined the Islamic Courts Union (ICU), a network aimed at expanding their influence within the country. Somali business leaders, many of whom fund their own private militias, began providing financial and military backing to the ICU in hopes that the Islamists could bring wider stability. With this support, the ICU’s area of control spread from the central region of Somalia south toward Mogadishu, the capital. On June 5, 2006, the ICU claimed control of Mogadishu from a coalition of warlords calling themselves the Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter-Terrorism (ARPCT). Though sporadic fighting continued for several weeks, by July 15, the ICU had secured control of the entire capital.
Interesting perspective but the authors lacks deeper knowledge on Somali politics and culture. More importantly, as a Jewish, the author shows hostile attitude towards Islam.
Click here to view the full article on the Council of Foreign Relations website.
Posted in Arab World, Commentary, Dar ul- Islam, Ethiopian Invasion, National Security, News, Somali Foreign Policy, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Somalia Islamic Courts, Terrorism | Comments Off
Monday, August 7th, 2006
The Reuters News Agency reports:
Somalia’s interim cabinet has been dissolved and a new one will be appointed within a week, President Abdullahi Yusuf said on Monday. “The bloated cabinet of (Prime Minister) Ali Mohamed Gedi’s government did not do anything during its tenure,â€Yusuf told parliament. “From today onwards, the government has been dissolved, only the prime minister will remainâ€
Well, this should not surprise anyone at all. The TFG collapsed long time ago and Col. Cabdullahi Yuusuf has been trying hard to resuscitate a lifeless government that nobody really cares about. He has also been trying hard to distance himself from Cali Geedi and the rest of failed cabinet in a futile attempt to save himself from eminent political onslaught from the Somali Islamic Courts’ Union. I do not believe that Col. Cabdullahi Yuusuf will be able to fool anyone other than himself!
Cabdullaahi Yuusuf had amble opportunities to find lasting political solutions to Somalia’s tragic civil war. The fact is that he failed and he failed miserably on everyone’s eyes! Hence, he is part of Somalia’s biggest problems not part of the solution as he mistakenly believes to be. Therefore, Somalia will be better of if he goes to where he really belongs; Addis Abba! His biggest political aspiration seems to have been to be an Ethiopian Viceroy in Somalia and he did indeed succeed doing that to some extend even though it may not have been long enough for him.
As I have written many times on this page, there is no viable alternative to the rule of the Islamic Courts Union! They must be given a chance to show what they are capable of doing! They succeeded to clean Mogadishu from the tyrany of warlordism. I am sure they will be able to clean the rest of the country including the northern and easter regions!
Click here to view the full dispatch on Reuters.
Posted in Arab World, Cali Maxmed Geedi, Col. Cabdullaahi Yuusuf Axmed, Commentary, Dar ul- Islam, Ethiopian Invasion, NFD, National Security, News, Pan Somalism, Somali Foreign Policy, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Somalia Islamic Courts, Terrorism, Warlords, Western Somalia (Ogaden) | Comments Off
Wednesday, August 2nd, 2006
The Eritrea Daily Newspaper (Online Edition) reports:
Twelve more ministers walked away from the Western-backed weak interim government of Somalia Tuesday, raising fears of imminent collapse of the government, said reports from the area. Minister of Minerals and Water Mohamud Salad Nur and three other assistant ministers announced their resignation less than a week after 18 senior officials also quit, dealing a blow to the fragile interim government. Eight more ministers and assistant ministers later resigned after Prime Minister Ali Mohamed Gedi called for peace talks with rival Islamists, scheduled for this week, to be postponed. “We had no option but to resign because we believe if the talks are postponed again it will affect the reconciliation efforts,” Minister of Fisheries and Ocean Resources Hassan Abshir Farah told Reuters. “Gedi’s government is unpopular among most members of parliament and its work plans will not be accepted by the national assembly,” Water and Mineral Resources Minister Muhamoud Salat Nur told reporters Tuesday.
Let’s face it; there is no viable alternative to the Islamic Courts Union. Hence, they must be allowed to take over the executive branch of the government. The Federal parliament should stay for the time being as a transitional body while the ICU consolidates the control of the country including the northern and eastern regions. Col. Cabdullaahi Yuusuf should go where he belongs; Adis Ababa! Cali Geedi can be allowed to stay in the country and work on animal “behindsâ€.
However, both of them should stand trial for treason once peace is restored through out our beloved country! Anyone who dares to betray the Somali Nation should not go unpunished! Period!
Click here to view the full report on Eritrea Daily.
Posted in Africa, Arab World, Cali Maxmed Geedi, Col. Cabdullaahi Yuusuf Axmed, Commentary, Dar ul- Islam, NFD, National Security, News, Pan Somalism, Somali Foreign Policy, Somali Islamic Revolution, Somali Peace Process, Somalia Islamic Courts, Warlords, Western Somalia (Ogaden) | Comments Off